Options and Gambling
Title
Options and Gambling
Subject
Statistics
Creator
Alex O
Date
2023
Abstract
This project builds upon the work of Henderson and Hobson (2013), which demonstrated the counterintuitive result that risk-averse agents,
seeking to maximise expected utility and possessing a timing option over when to sell an indivisible asset, may find it optimal to engage in risk increasing fair gambles. In this project, we extend the one-period binomial
model into a two-period model and explore a novel disaster model where a potential financial crisis may occur - while illustrating that the result still holds in these expanded scenarios. Our analysis broadens the applicability of the original insights and provides a robust foundation for understanding optimal decision-making strategies in a wider range of financial contexts.
seeking to maximise expected utility and possessing a timing option over when to sell an indivisible asset, may find it optimal to engage in risk increasing fair gambles. In this project, we extend the one-period binomial
model into a two-period model and explore a novel disaster model where a potential financial crisis may occur - while illustrating that the result still holds in these expanded scenarios. Our analysis broadens the applicability of the original insights and provides a robust foundation for understanding optimal decision-making strategies in a wider range of financial contexts.
Files
Collection
Citation
Alex O, “Options and Gambling,” URSS Showcase, accessed May 16, 2024, https://urss.warwick.ac.uk/items/show/400.