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              <text>This paper investigates the impact of increasing Houthi pirate attacks on maritime volatility since October 7, 2023, focusing on the dynamics and causal relationship between attacks and market volatility. Using a minute-level dataset, I separately analyse realised and implied volatility through Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression and instrumental variable (IV) techniques. I introduce Boolean and inverse logarithmic attack indicators, with the number of Palestinian deaths as an instrumental variable to establish causality.  Results reveal a significant increase in volatility following high-magnitude attacks, particularly involving oil tankers, with volatility spikes typically peaking within the first day post-attack. Volatility decay is non-monotonic, indicating that market responses vary in intensity over time. The robustness of our IV model, evidenced by significant coefficients and exclusion restrictions, further supports causal findings.  I discuss the policy implications, highlighting the stabilizing effects of a ceasefire on financial markets. I also acknowledge limitations in our dynamic modeling, suggesting the potential for improved accuracy with a GARCH model and additional instruments in future research.</text>
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              <text>#economics #commodities #commodity #finance #crude #oil #IV #causal #dynamics #pirate #piracy #maritime #palestine #palestinian #OLS #instrument #instrumental</text>
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                <text>Ilias Douiri</text>
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              <text>The UK produces over 300,000 tones of vegetable Brassica each year, worth £329 million (British Growers Association, 2023)   Xanthomonas campestris pv. campestris (Xcc), is the causative agent of black rot disease in vegetable Brassica (Fig 1)  (Ahdb.org.uk, 2023). The disease can  significantly reduce vegetable Brassica production, causing up to 50% damage.   Current treatments to control black rot are limited-antibiotics and chemicals risk promoting resistance and harm the environment (Mortensen , 2022).  Phages, viruses that specifically target bacteria, offer a potential alternative. Our research tested phages against various Xcc strains, examining their impact at reducing the Xcc population.</text>
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                <text>Imogen Nix, Sneha Chakravorty</text>
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